Against All Odds

Since we haven't really been doing features over this way in a while, I wanted to attempt to get some "Picks" back in to this piece. Last year was pretty successful, so starting this week, I'll give you four games that I think will be sound investments against the spread. What you do with them is up to you, as I obviously do not condone gambling of any type.

First, I recommend checking out MG's Gamblog, where he discusses the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes and Wisconsin Badgers. And for a little fun, he touches on the upcoming demise of the AFC North. Good times. On to my selections...

Washington (+6) over Philadelphia

The 'Skins topped the Cowboys last week, and while they travel to Philly this time around the liklihood of no Brian Westbrook continues to loom. We saw what Correll Buckhalter could (or couldn't) do against the Bears. We also saw the lack of yardage by Marion Barber against the Washington defense. I think Jason Campbell keeps Washington in this one close, if not on top. Take the points.

New England (-3) over San Francisco

They're coming off of a bye, allowing some time to get their shit together. I know that Matt Cassell isn't exactly Tom Brady...or even Greg Brady... but the talent on both sides of the ball for the Patriots simply has to top that of the Niners. I like Frank Gore, and he could chop up New England Ronnie Brown style. I just don't think it will lead San Fran to a win, or even a loss by less than three.

Tennessee (-3) over Baltimore

I'm just not buying the Ravens as being any good. Sure, they beat Cincy (who hasn't?) and Cleveland (ugh). But when finally faced with a good team last week, they folded in overtime. I think the Titans are even better than Pittsburgh, and Chris Johnson will run his 4.2 40-time all over the old BAL defense. The Ravens will struggle against Albert Haynesworth and company, and this one will be Joe Flacco's welcoming party. Honeymoon is over. This one is by a touchdown.

Buffalo (+1) over Arizona

This one seems too good to be true. The Bills are 4-0, have a stellar defense and can run all over their opponents with Marshawn Lynch and Freddy Jackson. The Cardinals may be without All-Pro receiver Anquan Boldin, and still have Kurt Warner who turned the ball over six (maybe seven?) times last week. Look for Paul P to contain the middle and the Trent Edwards to find Lee Evans at least one time in the end zone. Bills by at least five; take the points.